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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Maç ·

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır33%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır40%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score1–1DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt80% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
33% / 27% / 40%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Çifte Şans1272.9%1.37
Üst 20% · Alt 80%Goals 2.5Alt80%1.25
Evet 26% · Hayır 74%Karşılıklı gol varHayır74%1.35
1.51 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDFK Dainava winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
DFK Dainava win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
FK Babrungas win40%2.502.2539.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK Dainava0.52

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 34.4%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 20% · Alt 80%

FK Babrungas0.99

Deplasman share of expected goals 65.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 26% · Hayır 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

DFK Dainava

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

FK Babrungas

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
40%
13
Points from supplied form
13
0.52
Expected goals
0.99
DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK Dainava signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Babrungas signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK Dainava kazanç 33%,Beraberlik 27%,FK Babrungas kazanç 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · 2.5 Üst 20% · Current selection Alt