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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde43%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde43% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK TaurasFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste55% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
43% / 28% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Șansă dublă1272.4%1.38
Peste 55% · Sub 45%Goals 2.5Peste55%1.82
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
2.89 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FK Tauras win43%2.33
Egal28%3.57
FK Neptunas Klaipeda win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Tauras1.69

Gazde share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 55% · Sub 45%

FK Neptunas Klaipeda1.20

Oaspeți share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Tauras

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.69
Expected goals
1.20
FK TaurasFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Tauras signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Neptunas Klaipeda signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Tauras câștig 43%,Egal 28%,FK Neptunas Klaipeda câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Peste 2.5 55% · Current selection Peste