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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Meci ·

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde67%
Egal18%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde67% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Expected goals3.30Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
67% / 18% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Transinvest II win (15%)Șansă dublă1X85%1.18
Peste 64% · Sub 36%Goals 2.5Peste64%1.56
Da 58% · Nu 42%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58%1.72
3.30 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapBFA Vilnius winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
BFA Vilnius win67%1.491.3367.2%-0.2 pp
Egal18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
FK Transinvest II win15%6.676.0014.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius2.28

Gazde share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.30Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 64% · Sub 36%

FK Transinvest II1.02

Oaspeți share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 58% · Nu 42%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest II

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
1.02
BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Transinvest II signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius câștig 67%,Egal 18%,FK Transinvest II câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Peste 2.5 64% · Current selection Peste