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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Spiel ·

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg67%
Unentschieden18%
Auswärtssieg15%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg67% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Expected goals3.30Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
67% / 18% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Transinvest II win (15%)Doppelte Chance1X85%1.18
Über 64% · Unter 36%Goals 2.5Über64%1.56
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
3.30 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapBFA Vilnius winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
BFA Vilnius win67%1.491.3367.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
FK Transinvest II win15%6.676.0014.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius2.28

Heim share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.30Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 64% · Unter 36%

FK Transinvest II1.02

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest II

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
1.02
BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Transinvest II signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius Gewinn 67%,Unentschieden 18%,FK Transinvest II Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Über 2.5 64% · Current selection Über