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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK TaurasFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 28% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Podwójna szansa1272.4%1.38
Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%Goals 2.5Powyżej55%1.82
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
2.89 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
FK Tauras win43%2.33
Remis28%3.57
FK Neptunas Klaipeda win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Tauras1.69

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%

FK Neptunas Klaipeda1.20

Goście share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FK Tauras

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.69
Expected goals
1.20
FK TaurasFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Tauras signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Neptunas Klaipeda signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Tauras wygrana 43%,Remis 28%,FK Neptunas Klaipeda wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Powyżej 2.5 55% · Current selection Powyżej