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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy56%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy56% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
56% / 22% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ekranas win (21.8%)Podwójna szansa1X78.2%1.28
Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%Goals 2.5Powyżej54%1.85
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląNie50%2.00
2.83 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Ekranas winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Jonava win56%1.791.6255.6%+0.4 pp
Remis22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
FK Ekranas win22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jonava1.97

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%

FK Ekranas0.86

Goście share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FK Jonava

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Ekranas

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.97
Expected goals
0.86
FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jonava signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ekranas signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jonava wygrana 56%,Remis 22%,FK Ekranas wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Powyżej 2.5 54% · Current selection Powyżej