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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích56%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostů22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích56% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více54% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
56% / 22% / 22%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ekranas win (21.8%)Dvojitá šance1X78.2%1.28
Více 54% · Méně 46%Goals 2.5Více54%1.85
Ano 50% · Ne 50%Oba týmy skórujíNe50%2.00
2.83 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Ekranas winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Jonava win56%1.791.6255.6%+0.4 pp
Remíza22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
FK Ekranas win22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jonava1.97

Domácí share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 54% · Méně 46%

FK Ekranas0.86

Hosté share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 50% · Ne 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

FK Jonava

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomácí won 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

FK Ekranas

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.97
Expected goals
0.86
FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jonava signalDomácí won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ekranas signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jonava výhra 56%,Remíza 22%,FK Ekranas výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Více 2.5 54% · Current selection Více