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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante23%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 22% / 23%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Doble Oportunidad1277.6%1.29
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 50% · No 50%Ambos equipos marcanNo50%2.00
2.83 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFK Jonava winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Jonava win55%1.821.6753.7%+1.3 pp
Empate22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
FK Ekranas win23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jonava1.97

Local share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

FK Ekranas0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FK Jonava

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FK Ekranas

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.97
Expected goals
0.86
FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jonava signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ekranas signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jonava ganada 55%,Empate 22%,FK Ekranas ganada 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de