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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Mecz ·

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy56%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości20%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy56% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Expected goals3.31Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej64% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
56% / 24% / 20%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Transinvest II win (20.3%)Podwójna szansa1X79.7%1.25
Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%Goals 2.5Powyżej64%1.56
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
3.31 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
BFA Vilnius win56%1.79
Remis24%4.17
FK Transinvest II win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius2.30

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.5%

Total expected goals3.31Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%

FK Transinvest II1.01

Goście share of expected goals 30.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest II

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
20%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.30
Expected goals
1.01
BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Transinvest II signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius wygrana 56%,Remis 24%,FK Transinvest II wygrana 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Powyżej 2.5 64% · Current selection Powyżej