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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Zápas ·

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich56%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí20%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich56% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Expected goals3.31Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac64% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
56% / 24% / 20%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Transinvest II win (20.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X79.7%1.25
Viac 64% · Menej 36%Goals 2.5Viac64%1.56
Áno 57% · Nie 43%Oba tímy skórujúÁno57%1.75
3.31 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
BFA Vilnius win56%1.79
Remíza24%4.17
FK Transinvest II win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius2.30

Domáci share of expected goals 69.5%

Total expected goals3.31Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 64% · Menej 36%

FK Transinvest II1.01

Hostia share of expected goals 30.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 57% · Nie 43%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest II

0.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Výhra probability excluding draw
20%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.30
Expected goals
1.01
BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Transinvest II signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius výhra 56%,Remíza 24%,FK Transinvest II výhra 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Viac 2.5 64% · Current selection Viac