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INT Australia - Queensland - PL U23 · Meci ·

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score5–15.55 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde82%
Egal11%
Victorie oaspeți7%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde82% selection probability
Projected score5–1Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Expected goals5.55Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste92% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
82% / 11% / 7%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong U23 win (7.2%)Șansă dublă1X92.8%1.08
Peste 92% · Sub 8%Goals 2.5Peste92%1.09
Da 48% · Nu 52%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52%1.92
5.55 total expected goalsScor corect5–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning U23 winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning U23 win82%1.221.1479.6%+2.4 pp
Egal11%9.097.5012.1%-1.1 pp
St George Willawong U23 win7%14.2911.008.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning U234.89

Gazde share of expected goals 88.1%

Total expected goals5.55Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 92% · Sub 8%

St George Willawong U230.66

Oaspeți share of expected goals 11.9%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitDa 48% · Nu 52%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning U23

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde won 2/4 recent home matches

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

St George Willawong U23

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Câștig probability excluding draw
7%
7
Points from supplied form
4
4.89
Expected goals
0.66
Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning U23 signalGazde won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong U23 signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 5–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning U23 câștig 82%,Egal 11%,St George Willawong U23 câștig 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.55 · Peste 2.5 92% · Current selection Peste