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INT Australië - Queensland - PL U23 · Wedstrijd ·

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score5–15.55 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst82%
Gelijkspel11%
Uitwinst7%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst82% selection probability
Projected score5–1Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Expected goals5.55Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven92% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
82% / 11% / 7%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong U23 win (7.2%)Dubbele Kans1X92.8%1.08
Boven 92% · Onder 8%Goals 2.5Boven92%1.09
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
5.55 total expected goalsExacte score5–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning U23 winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning U23 win82%1.221.1479.6%+2.4 pp
Gelijkspel11%9.097.5012.1%-1.1 pp
St George Willawong U23 win7%14.2911.008.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning U234.89

Thuis share of expected goals 88.1%

Total expected goals5.55Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 92% · Onder 8%

St George Willawong U230.66

Uit share of expected goals 11.9%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning U23

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis won 2/4 recent home matches

Uit-context · form sequence

St George Willawong U23

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
7%
7
Points from supplied form
4
4.89
Expected goals
0.66
Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning U23 signalThuis won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong U23 signalUit matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 5–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning U23 gewonnen 82%,Gelijkspel 11%,St George Willawong U23 gewonnen 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.55 · Boven 2.5 92% · Current selection Boven