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INT Austrália - Queensland - Premier League de Sub23 · Partida ·

Logan Lightning Sub23 vs St George Willawong Sub23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score5–15.55 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa82%
Empate11%
Vitória visitante7%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa82% selection probability
Projected score5–1Logan Lightning Sub23St George Willawong Sub23
Expected goals5.55Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima92% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
82% / 11% / 7%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong Sub23 win (7.2%)Dupla Chance1X92.8%1.08
Acima 92% · Abaixo 8%Goals 2.5Acima92%1.09
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
5.55 total expected goalsPlacar exato5–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning Sub23 winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning Sub23 win82%1.221.1479.6%+2.4 pp
Empate11%9.097.5012.1%-1.1 pp
St George Willawong Sub23 win7%14.2911.008.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning Sub234.89

Mandante share of expected goals 88.1%

Total expected goals5.55Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 92% · Abaixo 8%

St George Willawong Sub230.66

Visitante share of expected goals 11.9%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning Sub23

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante won 2/4 recent home matches

Visitante-context · form sequence

St George Willawong Sub23

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
7%
7
Points from supplied form
4
4.89
Expected goals
0.66
Logan Lightning Sub23St George Willawong Sub23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning Sub23 signalMandante won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong Sub23 signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning Sub23 vs St George Willawong Sub23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 5–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning Sub23 ganhou 82%,Empate 11%,St George Willawong Sub23 ganhou 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.55 · Acima 2.5 92% · Current selection Acima