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INT Australia - Queensland - Premier League sub-23 · Partido ·

Logan Lightning sub-23 vs St George Willawong F.C. sub-23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score5–15.55 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local82%
Empate11%
Victoria visitante7%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local82% selection probability
Projected score5–1Logan Lightning sub-23St George Willawong F.C. sub-23
Expected goals5.55Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de92% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
82% / 11% / 7%Resultado del partidoVictoria local82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong F.C. sub-23 win (7.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X92.8%1.08
Más de 92% · Menos de 8%Goals 2.5Más de92%1.09
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
5.55 total expected goalsMarcador exacto5–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning sub-23 winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning sub-23 win82%1.221.1479.6%+2.4 pp
Empate11%9.097.5012.1%-1.1 pp
St George Willawong F.C. sub-23 win7%14.2911.008.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning sub-234.89

Local share of expected goals 88.1%

Total expected goals5.55Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 92% · Menos de 8%

St George Willawong F.C. sub-230.66

Visitante share of expected goals 11.9%

Projected score5–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning sub-23

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal won 2/4 recent home matches

Visitante-context · form sequence

St George Willawong F.C. sub-23

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Ganado probability excluding draw
7%
7
Points from supplied form
4
4.89
Expected goals
0.66
Logan Lightning sub-23St George Willawong F.C. sub-23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning sub-23 signalLocal won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong F.C. sub-23 signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning sub-23 vs St George Willawong F.C. sub-23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 5–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning sub-23 ganada 82%,Empate 11%,St George Willawong F.C. sub-23 ganada 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.55 · Más de 2.5 92% · Current selection Más de