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INT Australia - Queensland - PL U23 · Mecz ·

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score5–15.55 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy87%
Remis9%
Wygrana gości4%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 87% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy87% selection probability
Projected score5–1Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Expected goals5.55Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej92% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
87% / 9% / 4%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy87%1.15
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong U23 win (4.4%)Podwójna szansa1X95.6%1.05
Powyżej 92% · Poniżej 8%Goals 2.5Powyżej92%1.09
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
5.55 total expected goalsDokładny wynik5–1
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Logan Lightning U23 win87%1.15
Remis9%11.11
St George Willawong U23 win4%25.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning U234.89

Gospodarze share of expected goals 88.1%

Total expected goals5.55Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 92% · Poniżej 8%

St George Willawong U230.66

Goście share of expected goals 11.9%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning U23

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze won 2/4 recent home matches

Goście-context · form sequence

St George Willawong U23

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
87%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
4%
7
Points from supplied form
4
4.89
Expected goals
0.66
Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning U23 signalGospodarze won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong U23 signalGoście matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk13% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 9%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 5–1 · 87% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning U23 wygrana 87%,Remis 9%,St George Willawong U23 wygrana 4%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.55 · Powyżej 2.5 92% · Current selection Powyżej