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INT Australia - Queensland PL U23 · Partita ·

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score5–15.55 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa82%
Pareggio11%
Vittoria ospite7%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa82% selection probability
Projected score5–1Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Expected goals5.55Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra92% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
82% / 11% / 7%Esito partitaVittoria casa82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Willawong U23 win (7.2%)Doppia Chance1X92.8%1.08
Sopra 92% · Sotto 8%Goals 2.5Sopra92%1.09
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
5.55 total expected goalsRisultato esatto5–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning U23 winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning U23 win82%1.221.1479.6%+2.4 pp
Pareggio11%9.097.5012.1%-1.1 pp
St George Willawong U23 win7%14.2911.008.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning U234.89

Casa share of expected goals 88.1%

Total expected goals5.55Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 92% · Sotto 8%

St George Willawong U230.66

Trasferta share of expected goals 11.9%

Projected score5–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning U23

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa won 2/4 recent home matches

Trasferta-context · form sequence

St George Willawong U23

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Vinta probability excluding draw
7%
7
Points from supplied form
4
4.89
Expected goals
0.66
Logan Lightning U23St George Willawong U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning U23 signalCasa won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong U23 signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning U23 vs St George Willawong U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 5–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning U23 vinta 82%,Pareggio 11%,St George Willawong U23 vinta 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.55 · Sopra 2.5 92% · Current selection Sopra