MatchFormula Găsește un meci
Menu
UTC+8
Fus orarAsia/Shanghai
Română
BGR Bulgaria - Prima Liga · Meci ·

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–13.48 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde75%
Egal17%
Victorie oaspeți7%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde75% selection probability
Projected score3–1Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
Expected goals3.48Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
75% / 17% / 7%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Varna win (7.5%)Șansă dublă1X92.5%1.08
Peste 67% · Sub 33%Goals 2.5Peste67%1.49
Da 39% · Nu 61%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61%1.64
3.48 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win75%1.331.2774.2%+0.8 pp
Egal17%5.885.2517.9%-0.9 pp
Spartak Varna win7%14.2912.007.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia2.95

Gazde share of expected goals 84.8%

Total expected goals3.48Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 67% · Sub 33%

Spartak Varna0.53

Oaspeți share of expected goals 15.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 39% · Nu 61%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Spartak Varna

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Câștig probability excluding draw
7%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.95
Expected goals
0.53
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spartak Varna signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia câștig 75%,Egal 17%,Spartak Varna câștig 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Peste 2.5 67% · Current selection Peste