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BGR Bulgaria First League · Trận đấu ·

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score3–13.48 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng75%
Hòa17%
Đội khách thắng7%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng75% selection probability
Projected score3–1Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
Expected goals3.48Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài67% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
75% / 17% / 7%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Varna win (7.5%)Cơ hội kép1X92.5%1.08
Tài 67% · Xỉu 33%Goals 2.5Tài67%1.49
Có 39% · Không 61%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông61%1.64
3.48 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–1
9.0 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win75%1.331.2774.2%+0.8 pp
Hòa17%5.885.2517.9%-0.9 pp
Spartak Varna win7%14.2912.007.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia2.95

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 84.8%

Total expected goals3.48Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 67% · Xỉu 33%

Spartak Varna0.53

Khách share of expected goals 15.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 39% · Không 61%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Spartak Varna

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Thắng probability excluding draw
7%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.95
Expected goals
0.53
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spartak Varna signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia thắng 75%,Hòa 17%,Spartak Varna thắng 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Tài 2.5 67% · Current selection Tài