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HUN Ungaria - NB II · Round 2 ·

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE

Archived pre-match prediction

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde48%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde48% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub77% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
48% / 28% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karcagi SE win (24%)Șansă dublă1X76%1.32
Peste 23% · Sub 77%Goals 2.5Sub77%1.30
Da 31% · Nu 69%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69%1.45
1.67 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ajka win48%2.081.8548.3%-0.3 pp
Egal28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Karcagi SE win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ajka1.03

Gazde share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 23% · Sub 77%

Karcagi SE0.64

Oaspeți share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 31% · Nu 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Ajka

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Karcagi SE

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.03
Expected goals
0.64
FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ajka signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Karcagi SE signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ajka câștig 48%,Egal 28%,Karcagi SE câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Peste 2.5 23% · Current selection Sub