Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 28% / 24%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karcagi SE win (24%)Double chance1X76%1.32
Over 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.67 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ajka win48%2.081.8548.3%-0.3 pp
Draw28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Karcagi SE win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.7%
Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 23% · Under 77%
Away share of expected goals 38.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFC Ajka
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchKarcagi SE
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
24%6
Points from supplied form
21.03
Expected goals
0.64FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Ajka win 48%，Draw 28%，Karcagi SE win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.67 · Over 2.5 23% · Current selection Under。