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HUN Hungary NB II · Maç ·

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır48%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır24%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır48% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt77% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
48% / 28% / 24%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karcagi SE win (24%)Çifte Şans1X76%1.32
Üst 23% · Alt 77%Goals 2.5Alt77%1.30
Evet 31% · Hayır 69%Karşılıklı gol varHayır69%1.45
1.67 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ajka win48%2.081.8548.3%-0.3 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Karcagi SE win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ajka1.03

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 23% · Alt 77%

Karcagi SE0.64

Deplasman share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 31% · Hayır 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FC Ajka

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Karcagi SE

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.03
Expected goals
0.64
FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ajka signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Karcagi SE signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ajka kazanç 48%,Beraberlik 28%,Karcagi SE kazanç 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · 2.5 Üst 23% · Current selection Alt