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HUN Hongrie - NB II · Match ·

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de77% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 28% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karcagi SE win (24%)Double chance1X76%1.32
Plus de 23% · Moins de 77%Goals 2.5Moins de77%1.30
Oui 31% · Non 69%Les deux équipes marquentNon69%1.45
1.67 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ajka win48%2.081.8548.3%-0.3 pp
Nul28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Karcagi SE win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ajka1.03

Domicile share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 23% · Moins de 77%

Karcagi SE0.64

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 31% · Non 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FC Ajka

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Karcagi SE

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.03
Expected goals
0.64
FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ajka signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Karcagi SE signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ajka victoire 48%,Nul 28%,Karcagi SE victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Plus de 2.5 23% · Current selection Moins de