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HUN Hongarije - NB II · Wedstrijd ·

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder77% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 28% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karcagi SE win (24%)Dubbele Kans1X76%1.32
Boven 23% · Onder 77%Goals 2.5Onder77%1.30
Ja 31% · Nee 69%Beide teams scorenNee69%1.45
1.67 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ajka win48%2.081.8548.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Karcagi SE win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ajka1.03

Thuis share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 23% · Onder 77%

Karcagi SE0.64

Uit share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nee 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Ajka

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Karcagi SE

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.03
Expected goals
0.64
FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ajka signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Karcagi SE signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ajka gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 28%,Karcagi SE gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Boven 2.5 23% · Current selection Onder