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HUN Maďarsko - NB II · Zápas ·

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích48%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů24%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích48% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně77% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
48% / 28% / 24%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karcagi SE win (24%)Dvojitá šance1X76%1.32
Více 23% · Méně 77%Goals 2.5Méně77%1.30
Ano 31% · Ne 69%Oba týmy skórujíNe69%1.45
1.67 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ajka win48%2.081.8548.3%-0.3 pp
Remíza28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Karcagi SE win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ajka1.03

Domácí share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 23% · Méně 77%

Karcagi SE0.64

Hosté share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 31% · Ne 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

FC Ajka

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Karcagi SE

0.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomácí failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Výhra probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.03
Expected goals
0.64
FC AjkaKarcagi SE
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ajka signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Karcagi SE signalDomácí failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Ajka vs Karcagi SE FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ajka výhra 48%,Remíza 28%,Karcagi SE výhra 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Více 2.5 23% · Current selection Méně