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SAU Arábia Saudita - 1ª Divisão · Final ·

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score3–1Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa53%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante24%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima52% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
53% / 24% / 24%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Jabalain win (23.6%)Dupla Chance1X76.4%1.31
Acima 52% · Abaixo 48%Goals 2.5Acima52%1.92
Sim 52% · Não 48%Ambas as equipes marcamSim52%1.92
2.77 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAl-Ula winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Ula win53%1.891.7052.3%+0.7 pp
Empate24%4.173.7523.7%+0.3 pp
Al Jabalain win24%4.173.7024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Ula1.80

Mandante share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 52% · Abaixo 48%

Al Jabalain0.97

Visitante share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 52% · Não 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Al-Ula

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Al Jabalain

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.97
Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Ula signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Jabalain signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Ula ganhou 53%,Empate 24%,Al Jabalain ganhou 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Acima 2.5 52% · Current selection Acima