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SAU Саудовская Аравия - 1-й дивизион · Final ·

Аль-Ула vs Аль-Джабалайн

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score3–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Аль-УлаАль-Джабалайн
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 24% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Аль-Джабалайн win (23.6%)Двойной шанс1X76.4%1.31
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.77 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapАль-Ула winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аль-Ула win53%1.891.7052.3%+0.7 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7523.7%+0.3 pp
Аль-Джабалайн win24%4.173.7024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аль-Ула1.80

Хозяева share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Аль-Джабалайн0.97

Гости share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аль-Ула

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Аль-Джабалайн

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.97
Аль-УлаАль-Джабалайн
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аль-Ула signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аль-Джабалайн signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Аль-Ула vs Аль-Джабалайн FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аль-Ула выигрыш 53%,Ничья 24%,Аль-Джабалайн выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше