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SAU Saoedi-Arabië - 1e divisie · Final ·

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 24% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Jabalain win (23.6%)Dubbele Kans1X76.4%1.31
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.77 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAl-Ula winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Ula win53%1.891.7052.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.7%+0.3 pp
Al Jabalain win24%4.173.7024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Ula1.80

Thuis share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

Al Jabalain0.97

Uit share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Al-Ula

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Al Jabalain

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.97
Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Ula signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Jabalain signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Ula gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 24%,Al Jabalain gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven