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SAU Arabie Saoudite - Division 1 · Final ·

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score3–1Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile53%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
53% / 24% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Jabalain win (23.6%)Double chance1X76.4%1.31
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.77 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAl-Ula winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Ula win53%1.891.7052.3%+0.7 pp
Nul24%4.173.7523.7%+0.3 pp
Al Jabalain win24%4.173.7024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Ula1.80

Domicile share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

Al Jabalain0.97

Extérieur share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Al-Ula

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Al Jabalain

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.97
Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Ula signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Jabalain signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Ula victoire 53%,Nul 24%,Al Jabalain victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de