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SAU Saudi Arabien - 1. division · Final ·

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–1Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr53%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr24%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
53% / 24% / 24%KampresultatHjemmesejr53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Jabalain win (23.6%)Dobbeltchance1X76.4%1.31
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Begge hold scorerJa52%1.92
2.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAl-Ula winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Ula win53%1.891.7052.3%+0.7 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7523.7%+0.3 pp
Al Jabalain win24%4.173.7024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Ula1.80

Hjemme share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Al Jabalain0.97

Ude share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al-Ula

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Al Jabalain

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vundet probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.97
Al-UlaAl Jabalain
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Ula signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Jabalain signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Al-Ula vs Al Jabalain FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Ula vundet 53%,Uafgjort 24%,Al Jabalain vundet 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over