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PRT Portugal - Liga de Sub23 · Partida ·

Estrela da Amadora Sub23 vs Leixões SC Sub23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa38%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante36%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Estrela da Amadora Sub23Leixões SC Sub23
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo52% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
38% / 26% / 36%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dupla Chance1274.2%1.35
Acima 48% · Abaixo 52%Goals 2.5Abaixo52%1.92
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapEstrela da Amadora Sub23 winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela da Amadora Sub23 win38%2.632.2539.9%-1.9 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Leixões SC Sub23 win36%2.782.6034.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela da Amadora Sub230.85

Mandante share of expected goals 32.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 48% · Abaixo 52%

Leixões SC Sub231.74

Visitante share of expected goals 67.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Estrela da Amadora Sub23

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Leixões SC Sub23

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.85
Expected goals
1.74
Estrela da Amadora Sub23Leixões SC Sub23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela da Amadora Sub23 signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixões SC Sub23 signalMandante failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Estrela da Amadora Sub23 vs Leixões SC Sub23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela da Amadora Sub23 ganhou 38%,Empate 26%,Leixões SC Sub23 ganhou 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Acima 2.5 48% · Current selection Abaixo