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PRT Portugal - Liga de Sub23 · Partida ·

Penafiel U23 vs CS Marítimo Sub23

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.81 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa38%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante34%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Penafiel U23CS Marítimo Sub23
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
38% / 28% / 34%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dupla Chance1272.3%1.38
Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%Goals 2.5Acima53%1.89
Sim 58% · Não 42%Ambas as equipes marcamSim58%1.72
2.81 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penafiel U23 win38%2.632.4037.4%
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%
CS Marítimo Sub23 win34%2.942.6034.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penafiel U231.45

Mandante share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%

CS Marítimo Sub231.36

Visitante share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 58% · Não 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Penafiel U23

0.00pts / match
Jogos0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Pontos0

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CS Marítimo Sub23

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
4
1.45
Expected goals
1.36
Penafiel U23CS Marítimo Sub23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penafiel U23 signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CS Marítimo Sub23 signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Penafiel U23 vs CS Marítimo Sub23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penafiel U23 ganhou 38%,Empate 28%,CS Marítimo Sub23 ganhou 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Acima 2.5 53% · Current selection Acima