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PRT Portugal - Liga de Sub23 · Partida ·

Vizela Sub23 vs Sporting CP Sub23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–23.08 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa40%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante35%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Vizela Sub23Sporting CP Sub23
Expected goals3.08Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
40% / 26% / 35%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dupla Chance1274.1%1.35
Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%Goals 2.5Acima59%1.69
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
3.08 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapSporting CP Sub23 winDifference+2.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vizela Sub23 win40%2.502.2041.2%-1.2 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Sporting CP Sub23 win35%2.862.7532.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vizela Sub231.15

Mandante share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals3.08Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%

Sporting CP Sub231.93

Visitante share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Vizela Sub23

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sporting CP Sub23

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.93
Vizela Sub23Sporting CP Sub23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vizela Sub23 signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting CP Sub23 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Vizela Sub23 vs Sporting CP Sub23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vizela Sub23 ganhou 40%,Empate 26%,Sporting CP Sub23 ganhou 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Acima 2.5 59% · Current selection Acima