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PRT Portugal - Liga sub-23 · Partido ·

Vizela sub-23 vs Sporting sub-23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.08 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Vizela sub-23Sporting sub-23
Expected goals3.08Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 26% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doble Oportunidad1274.1%1.35
Más de 59% · Menos de 41%Goals 2.5Más de59%1.69
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
3.08 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
8.8 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapSporting sub-23 winDifference+2.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vizela sub-23 win40%2.502.2041.2%-1.2 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Sporting sub-23 win35%2.862.7532.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vizela sub-231.15

Local share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals3.08Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 59% · Menos de 41%

Sporting sub-231.93

Visitante share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Vizela sub-23

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sporting sub-23

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.93
Vizela sub-23Sporting sub-23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vizela sub-23 signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting sub-23 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Vizela sub-23 vs Sporting sub-23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vizela sub-23 ganada 40%,Empate 26%,Sporting sub-23 ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Más de 2.5 59% · Current selection Más de