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PRT Portugal - League U23 · Wedstrijd ·

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 26% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dubbele Kans1274.2%1.35
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapEstrela Amadora U23 winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora U23 win38%2.632.2539.9%-1.9 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Leixoes U23 win36%2.782.6034.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora U230.85

Thuis share of expected goals 32.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

Leixoes U231.74

Uit share of expected goals 67.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora U23

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.85
Expected goals
1.74
Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora U23 signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes U23 signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora U23 gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 26%,Leixoes U23 gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder