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PRT Portugal - Ligue U23 · Match ·

Estrela Amadora - U23 vs Leixoes - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur36%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Estrela Amadora - U23Leixoes - U23
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 26% / 36%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%Goals 2.5Moins de52%1.92
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
8.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapEstrela Amadora - U23 winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora - U23 win38%2.632.2539.9%-1.9 pp
Nul26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Leixoes - U23 win36%2.782.6034.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora - U230.85

Domicile share of expected goals 32.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%

Leixoes - U231.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 67.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora - U23

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Leixoes - U23

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.85
Expected goals
1.74
Estrela Amadora - U23Leixoes - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora - U23 signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes - U23 signalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora - U23 vs Leixoes - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora - U23 victoire 38%,Nul 26%,Leixoes - U23 victoire 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Plus de 2.5 48% · Current selection Moins de