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PRT Portugalia - Liga U23 · Meci ·

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub52% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 26% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Șansă dublă1274.2%1.35
Peste 48% · Sub 52%Goals 2.5Sub52%1.92
Da 48% · Nu 52%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
8.8 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapEstrela Amadora U23 winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora U23 win38%2.632.2539.9%-1.9 pp
Egal26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Leixoes U23 win36%2.782.6034.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora U230.85

Gazde share of expected goals 32.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 48% · Sub 52%

Leixoes U231.74

Oaspeți share of expected goals 67.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 48% · Nu 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora U23

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.85
Expected goals
1.74
Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora U23 signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes U23 signalGazde failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora U23 câștig 38%,Egal 26%,Leixoes U23 câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Peste 2.5 48% · Current selection Sub