MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
PRT Portugal - U23 Liga · Spiel ·

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg36%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 26% / 36%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Doppelte Chance1274.2%1.35
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapEstrela Amadora U23 winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora U23 win38%2.632.2539.9%-1.9 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Leixoes U23 win36%2.782.6034.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora U230.85

Heim share of expected goals 32.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

Leixoes U231.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 67.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora U23

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.85
Expected goals
1.74
Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora U23 signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes U23 signalHeim failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora U23 Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 26%,Leixoes U23 Gewinn 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter