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PRT Portugal - Ligue U23 · Match ·

SC Farense - U23 vs Estoril - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC Farense - U23Estoril - U23
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 27% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Double chance1272.9%1.37
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSC Farense - U23 winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Farense - U23 win40%2.502.3038.9%+1.1 pp
Nul27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Estoril - U23 win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Farense - U231.53

Domicile share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

Estoril - U230.93

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

SC Farense - U23

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Estoril - U23

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
13
Points from supplied form
5
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
SC Farense - U23Estoril - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Farense - U23 signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estoril - U23 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Farense - U23 vs Estoril - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Farense - U23 victoire 40%,Nul 27%,Estoril - U23 victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de