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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πρωτάθλημα U23 · Αγώνας ·

Φαρένσε U23 vs Εστορίλ U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου33%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Φαρένσε U23Εστορίλ U23
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 27% / 33%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1272.9%1.37
Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%Goals 2.5Κάτω55%1.82
Ναι 48% · Όχι 52%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapΦαρένσε U23 winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Φαρένσε U23 win40%2.502.3038.9%+1.1 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Εστορίλ U23 win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Φαρένσε U231.53

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%

Εστορίλ U230.93

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 48% · Όχι 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Φαρένσε U23

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Εστορίλ U23

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
33%
13
Points from supplied form
5
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
Φαρένσε U23Εστορίλ U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Φαρένσε U23 signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Εστορίλ U23 signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Φαρένσε U23 vs Εστορίλ U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Φαρένσε U23 νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Εστορίλ U23 νίκη 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Άνω 2.5 45% · Current selection Κάτω