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PRT ポルトガル U23リーグ · 試合 ·

SCファレンセU23 vs エストリルU23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–1SCファレンセU23エストリルU23
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 27% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)ダブルチャンス1272.9%1.37
オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%Goals 2.5アンダー55%1.82
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.46 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSCファレンセU23 winDifference+1.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SCファレンセU23 win40%2.502.3038.9%+1.1 pp
引き分け27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
エストリルU23 win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SCファレンセU231.53

ホーム share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%

エストリルU230.93

アウェイ share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

SCファレンセU23

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

エストリルU23

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
13
Points from supplied form
5
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
SCファレンセU23エストリルU23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SCファレンセU23 signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02エストリルU23 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SCファレンセU23 vs エストリルU23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SCファレンセU23 勝ち 40%,引き分け 27%,エストリルU23 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · オーバー 2.5 45% · Current selection アンダー