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PRT Portugal U23 League · Match ·

SC Farense U23 vs Estoril U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC Farense U23Estoril U23
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 27% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dubbelchans1272.9%1.37
Över 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSC Farense U23 winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Farense U23 win40%2.502.3038.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Estoril U23 win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Farense U231.53

Hemma share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 45% · Under 55%

Estoril U230.93

Borta share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

SC Farense U23

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Estoril U23

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
13
Points from supplied form
5
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
SC Farense U23Estoril U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Farense U23 signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estoril U23 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Farense U23 vs Estoril U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Farense U23 vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 27%,Estoril U23 vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Över 2.5 45% · Current selection Under