Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 30% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Luz win (25.9%)Dupla Chance1X74.1%1.35
Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%Goals 2.5Abaixo61%1.64
Sim 44% · Não 56%Ambas as equipes marcamNão56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1——
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win44%2.27
Empate30%3.33
La Luz win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Mandante share of expected goals 62.1%
Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%
Visitante share of expected goals 37.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 44% · Não 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Mandante-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAtletico Fenix Montevideo
DWLWL
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7
SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLa Luz
LWWLD
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7
SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%7
Points from supplied form
71.39
Expected goals
0.85Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atletico Fenix Montevideo ganhou 44%，Empate 30%，La Luz ganhou 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.24 · Acima 2.5 39% · Current selection Abaixo。