Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 30% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Luz win (25.9%)Dubbele Kans1X74.1%1.35
Boven 39% · Onder 61%Goals 2.5Onder61%1.64
Ja 44% · Nee 56%Beide teams scorenNee56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win44%2.27
Gelijkspel30%3.33
La Luz win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 62.1%
Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 39% · Onder 61%
Uit share of expected goals 37.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nee 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAtletico Fenix Montevideo
DWLWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLa Luz
LWWLD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%7
Points from supplied form
71.39
Expected goals
0.85Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atletico Fenix Montevideo gewonnen 44%，Gelijkspel 30%，La Luz gewonnen 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.24 · Boven 2.5 39% · Current selection Onder。