Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 30% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Luz win (25.9%)Doppia Chance1X74.1%1.35
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win44%2.27
Pareggio30%3.33
La Luz win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 62.1%
Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%
Trasferta share of expected goals 37.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAtletico Fenix Montevideo
DWLWL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLa Luz
LWWLD
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%7
Points from supplied form
71.39
Expected goals
0.85Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atletico Fenix Montevideo vinta 44%，Pareggio 30%，La Luz vinta 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.24 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto。