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URY Uruguay Segunda · Final ·

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score0–0Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 30% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Luz win (25.9%)Dubbelchans1X74.1%1.35
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win44%2.27
Oavgjort30%3.33
La Luz win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.39

Hemma share of expected goals 62.1%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

La Luz0.85

Borta share of expected goals 37.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

La Luz

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.39
Expected goals
0.85
Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Luz signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 30%,La Luz vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under