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URY Uruguay Segunda · Final ·

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score0–0Előrejelzés 1–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem44%
Döntetlen30%
Vendég győzelem26%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Vesztett
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt61% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
44% / 30% / 26%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Luz win (25.9%)Dupla esély1X74.1%1.35
Felett 39% · Alatt 61%Goals 2.5Alatt61%1.64
Igen 44% · Nem 56%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.9 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win44%2.27
Döntetlen30%3.33
La Luz win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.39

Hazai share of expected goals 62.1%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 39% · Alatt 61%

La Luz0.85

Vendég share of expected goals 37.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 44% · Nem 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

La Luz

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Nyert probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.39
Expected goals
0.85
Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Luz signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Fenix Montevideo nyer 44%,Döntetlen 30%,La Luz nyer 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · 2.5 felett 39% · Current selection Alatt