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HUN Węgry - NB III · Mecz ·

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–02.80 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy82%
Remis12%
Wygrana gości6%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy82% selection probability
Projected score2–0ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
82% / 12% / 6%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hodmezovasahelyi win (5.8%)Podwójna szansa1X94.2%1.06
Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%Goals 2.5Powyżej53%1.89
Tak 26% · Nie 74%Obie drużyny strzeląNie74%1.35
2.80 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–0
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapESMTK winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESMTK win82%1.221.1381.6%+0.4 pp
Remis12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Hodmezovasahelyi win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESMTK2.47

Gospodarze share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%

Hodmezovasahelyi0.33

Goście share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitTak 26% · Nie 74%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

ESMTK

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Hodmezovasahelyi

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.47
Expected goals
0.33
ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESMTK signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hodmezovasahelyi signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–0 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESMTK wygrana 82%,Remis 12%,Hodmezovasahelyi wygrana 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Powyżej 2.5 53% · Current selection Powyżej