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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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HUN Hongarije - NB III · Wedstrijd ·

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–02.80 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst82%
Gelijkspel12%
Uitwinst6%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst82% selection probability
Projected score2–0ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
82% / 12% / 6%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hodmezovasahelyi win (5.8%)Dubbele Kans1X94.2%1.06
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 26% · Nee 74%Beide teams scorenNee74%1.35
2.80 total expected goalsExacte score2–0
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapESMTK winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESMTK win82%1.221.1381.6%+0.4 pp
Gelijkspel12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Hodmezovasahelyi win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESMTK2.47

Thuis share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

Hodmezovasahelyi0.33

Uit share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 26% · Nee 74%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

ESMTK

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hodmezovasahelyi

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.47
Expected goals
0.33
ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESMTK signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hodmezovasahelyi signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–0 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESMTK gewonnen 82%,Gelijkspel 12%,Hodmezovasahelyi gewonnen 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven