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HUN Hungary NB III · Maç ·

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasarhelyi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–02.80 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır82%
Beraberlik12%
Deplasman kazanır6%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır82% selection probability
Projected score2–0ESMTKHodmezovasarhelyi
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst53% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
82% / 12% / 6%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hodmezovasarhelyi win (5.8%)Çifte Şans1X94.2%1.06
Üst 53% · Alt 47%Goals 2.5Üst53%1.89
Evet 26% · Hayır 74%Karşılıklı gol varHayır74%1.35
2.80 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–0
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapESMTK winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESMTK win82%1.221.1381.6%+0.4 pp
Beraberlik12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Hodmezovasarhelyi win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESMTK2.47

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 53% · Alt 47%

Hodmezovasarhelyi0.33

Deplasman share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitEvet 26% · Hayır 74%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

ESMTK

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Hodmezovasarhelyi

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.47
Expected goals
0.33
ESMTKHodmezovasarhelyi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESMTK signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hodmezovasarhelyi signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasarhelyi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–0 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESMTK kazanç 82%,Beraberlik 12%,Hodmezovasarhelyi kazanç 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · 2.5 Üst 53% · Current selection Üst