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HUN Hungary NB III · Partido ·

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–02.80 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local82%
Empate12%
Victoria visitante6%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local82% selection probability
Projected score2–0ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de53% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
82% / 12% / 6%Resultado del partidoVictoria local82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hodmezovasahelyi win (5.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X94.2%1.06
Más de 53% · Menos de 47%Goals 2.5Más de53%1.89
Sí 26% · No 74%Ambos equipos marcanNo74%1.35
2.80 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–0
9.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapESMTK winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ESMTK win82%1.221.1381.6%+0.4 pp
Empate12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Hodmezovasahelyi win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ESMTK2.47

Local share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 53% · Menos de 47%

Hodmezovasahelyi0.33

Visitante share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score2–0BTTS split 26% · No 74%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

ESMTK

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Hodmezovasahelyi

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Ganado probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.47
Expected goals
0.33
ESMTKHodmezovasahelyi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ESMTK signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hodmezovasahelyi signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ESMTK vs Hodmezovasahelyi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–0 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ESMTK ganada 82%,Empate 12%,Hodmezovasahelyi ganada 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Más de 2.5 53% · Current selection Más de